Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 3.642445e-05 4.348291e-05 0.000051 0.000060 0.000070 0.000080 0.000092
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.758237e-05 3.665263e-05 0.000047 0.000060 0.000075 0.000092 0.000112
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.056490e-05 3.027666e-05 0.000042 0.000058 0.000077 0.000099 0.000127
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.576745e-05 2.562858e-05 0.000039 0.000056 0.000078 0.000105 0.000140
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.273139e-05 2.269506e-05 0.000036 0.000056 0.000081 0.000113 0.000155
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.004746e-05 1.974148e-05 0.000034 0.000055 0.000083 0.000119 0.000167
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 7.995191e-06 1.733803e-05 0.000032 0.000054 0.000084 0.000124 0.000179
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 6.276410e-06 1.512094e-05 0.000030 0.000052 0.000085 0.000129 0.000189
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 4.737601e-06 1.286843e-05 0.000027 0.000050 0.000085 0.000131 0.000197
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.438123e-06 1.072499e-05 0.000024 0.000047 0.000083 0.000132 0.000203
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.570284e-06 9.211159e-06 0.000022 0.000046 0.000083 0.000135 0.000211
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.327765e-06 9.052442e-06 0.000023 0.000048 0.000089 0.000146 0.000230
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.587346e-06 7.570132e-06 0.000021 0.000047 0.000089 0.000151 0.000243
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.126212e-06 6.594493e-06 0.000020 0.000047 0.000092 0.000160 0.000261
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 6.732749e-07 5.300592e-06 0.000018 0.000045 0.000092 0.000163 0.000272
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.902741e-07 4.312176e-06 0.000016 0.000043 0.000092 0.000168 0.000285
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.406893e-07 3.711788e-06 0.000016 0.000043 0.000095 0.000176 0.000302
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.245321e-07 3.050436e-06 0.000014 0.000042 0.000096 0.000181 0.000316
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.803803e-08 2.515810e-06 0.000013 0.000042 0.000097 0.000186 0.000330
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.071698e-08 2.024738e-06 0.000012 0.000040 0.000097 0.000191 0.000342
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.653373e-09 1.537818e-06 0.000011 0.000039 0.000096 0.000193 0.000351
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 4.627326e-11 1.103986e-06 0.000010 0.000036 0.000094 0.000193 0.000358
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 8.262399e-07 0.000009 0.000035 0.000094 0.000196 0.000368